Will we qualify for the CL?

[Footy-Vill]

This is brilliant tonight . dismissing Brighton in the must win game.

However it’s still a lot to as going above them they are only a point behind so have to make sure beat Forest!
And with Newcastle playing Leicester need to keep the momentum going.

UTV !!

[brontebilly]

How are we fixed now? Bournemouth seem to be dropping off but Forest bar a collapse really should be certs.

2 from Chelsea, Newcastle, Man City and ourselves. Could do with Spurs getting a result tomorrow.

[Footy-Vill]

Games of relevance coming this weekend
above:
4th Man City 51pts Man Utd a
5th Newcastle 50pts Leicester a
6th Chelsea* 49pts Brentford a

7th Aston Villa 48pts

below
8th Brighton 47pts Crystal Palace a
9th Fulham 45pts Liverpool h
10th Bournemouth 44pts West Ham a

*chelsea to play Spurs this evening .

[Footy-Vill]

How are we fixed now? Bournemouth seem to be dropping off but Forest bar a collapse really should be certs.

2 from Chelsea, Newcastle, Man City and ourselves. Could do with Spurs getting a result tomorrow.

I don’t think can rule out any teams in top 10 just yet.

But just taking teams above us their remaining matches vs top half teams are

4th Man City
Villa (h)
Bournemouth (h)
last game of season Fulham (a)

5th Newcastle
Villa (a)
Brighton (a)
Chelsea (h)
Arsenal (a)
last game of season Everton (h)

6th Chelsea
Fulham (a)
Newcastle (a)
Liverpool  (h)
last match of the season Forest  (a)

[Footy-Vill]

How are we fixed now? Bournemouth seem to be dropping off but Forest bar a collapse really should be certs.

2 from Chelsea, Newcastle, Man City and ourselves. Could do with Spurs getting a result tomorrow.

Annoyingly Man City have the least difficult fixture run in for their remaining 8 matches.  So a loss to Man Utd is really needed.

[Somniloquism]

Annoyingly we can't win the league after last nights plop result as we can only get 72 points.

[aldridgeboy]

Whatever happened to the Man City points deduction that was supposed to be concluded in March ? ( Or so I thought )
Newcastle have a really tough run in. I think we finish ahead of them.

[Mellin]

We're essentially four points away. Newcastle win their game in hand and it's basically five. Presuming City don't get points deducted, which would obviously change everything, I'd say we need to beat both Newcastle and City, plus win six from eight. That might be enough. It's a big ask, but doable.

[cdbearsfan]

I think if we win every game, it's possible. But I imagine if we get close we'll just find a way to fuck it up against Man U, as is traditional.

[PeterWithesShin]

18 points would mean 2 of these for us to only finish 6th. Chelsea need 14 from 8, Man City 15 from 8, Newcastle 16 from 9. That's assuming there's no sizeable goal swings.

[PeterWithesShin]

And I know teams below us could do even more but i'm basing it on the most likely teams doing it.

[Villafirst]

Whatever happened to the Man City points deduction that was supposed to be concluded in March ? ( Or so I thought )
Newcastle have a really tough run in. I think we finish ahead of them.

Yes, agree. The Man City 115 charges decision seems to have gone quiet. The case was supposedly wrapped up months ago. Why the need for this excessive drawn out process?

[Somniloquism]

18 points would mean 2 of these for us to only finish 6th. Chelsea need 14 from 8, Man City 15 from 8, Newcastle 16 from 9. That's assuming there's no sizeable goal swings.

City might being as they usually put a run together at the sharp end. But not seeing it from the others. Newcastle's game in hand is against Palace, which apart from one win last season when Palace had the really bad start to the season, is normally a close game that ends in a draw more then most. Chelsea look as knackered as we did last season.

[cdbearsfan]

Newcastle will be playing Palace reserves.

[Drummond]

So, as things stand I think these are simplified permutations....

Top 5 will get Champs League. Current top 7 realistically have a chance incl us, ManC, Newcastle and Chelsea. (Top 10 will feel they have chance, ie incl Fulham, Brighton and Bournemouth).

Europa will go to Cup Winner, which is us, ManC, Bournemouth or Palace. If it's one of top 5 that win it (ie def not Palace but could be anyone else) then it goes to League placing, ie 6th.

Conference League is Newcastle, unless they finish Top 5/6 and get Champs or Europa and then it goes to 7th.

Arsenal, Us can still win Champions League.

ManU or Spurs could win Europa and qualify for Champs League.

Chelsea could win Europa Conference and qualify for Europa. If they also finished in a qualifying place for Europa (6th) via the league it would move to next team down?