Will we qualify for the CL?

[cdbearsfan]

We're 4 points off 4th place. We have a break to reset and focus and I expect us to go on a late charge...

Although with our negative goal difference it’s effectively five points.

No. It isn't.

[Footy-Vill]

If it comes down to goal difference it is an issue.
However first step is beating Brighton. win that and more people will believe and hope we can make it!
If Villa lost that would not be good given the points let alone the goal difference.

[DeLaCruzing]

We would need a GD swing of around 20 goals to catch up with the current 3rd-5th placed teams,  so yes it’s another point being behind in theory if GD is the defining factor.

[ADVILLAFAN]

We're 4 points off 4th place. We have a break to reset and focus and I expect us to go on a late charge...

Although with our negative goal difference it’s effectively five points.

No. It isn't.

More or less 5 points, with hoe bad our goal difference is.

[OCD]

How often does it come down to goal difference?

[cdbearsfan]

We're 4 points off 4th place. We have a break to reset and focus and I expect us to go on a late charge...

Although with our negative goal difference it’s effectively five points.

No. It isn't.

More or less 5 points, with hoe bad our goal difference is.

*Rage intensifies

[Footy-Vill]

I’m convinced we are going to hit someone for 6 i’ve been waiting for this to happen again.
obviously Southampton and Preston would be likely suspects but both occasions we are likely to field a heavily rotated side .

Maybe Spurs at home last match of the season
(depending where Man City gets moved too) will be the match.

ideally hitting for a 6 against one of our rivals would be great but i would take several 3-0 victories against them !

Exciting though as it’s all to play for really for the places.

[eamonn]

Yeah, CD, you don't believe in goal-difference but I forget why, can you explain pls.

[cdbearsfan]

I believe in the existence of goal difference. I don't believe it's "worth a point", because it isn't. If Man City finish on 60 points with a goal difference of +50 and we finish on 61 points with a goal difference of -20, we finish a point clear of them, not level.

[Somniloquism]

But it is worth an extra point when points are level.  Afterall in your scenario we finish below Citeh if we are both on 60 points so would need 61.

[ADVILLAFAN]

Yes. Their difference is so much better than ours, so that it is basically worth a point.

[Drummond]

And when we finish a point ahead of them they'll actually be drawing with us won't they?

[Footy-Vill]

The thing is, it’s folly to suggest Villa are out of contention for Champions League places, 4th and 5th positions chiefly and most realistically, to aim for as the highest finishes.

I say this because no team outside of the top 3 has shown the consistency to be a top 4 team this season. Villa are very much in contention, and I don’t think Chelsea, who are 4th and 4 pts ahead, have shown the form for quite a while now that is the best 4th place team.

With 5th place also up for grabs, then it’s certainly in the realms of possibility, and I forecast 5th in the league, winning the FA Cup and the semifinals of the Champions League.They are all very distinct possibilities, but to focus on the topic at hand, Villa have every chance for a Champions League place.

[ADVILLAFAN]

And when we finish a point ahead of them they'll actually be drawing with us won't they?

Can you please stop talking sensibly when I'm trying to annoy my brother?

[cdbearsfan]

Absolutely certain that people who believe goal difference is worth a point also think there's a team in Spain called "Athletico Madrid".