Ollie Watkins

[The Edge]

0.06 xG.

I just mention this because I know everyone on here fucking loves xG. 🙂

I have no fkn idea what xG even means. And I don't want to

[Somniloquism]

0.06 xG.

I just mention this because I know everyone on here fucking loves xG. 🙂

The chance he scored was that? Really, one on one with the defender running in for goal and they only give it a .06 of scoring in that position?

[cdbearsfan]

He had his back to goal when he got it, didn't he?

[LeeB]

He had his back to goal when he got it, didn't he?

I've played centre half (and generally hated it), and I've occasionally been up against blokes miles above my level, and that was the kind of thing they'd do to me, manoeuvre you in an involuntary way like you're just some kind of shit prop.

We've got genuinely one of the best centre forwards in the world.

[Somniloquism]

But he also had the room to turn. IF there is no defender in the box at all in a similar situation does it go to .16 xG?

[cdbearsfan]

I don't know, to be honest.

Also, something I've just thought of... say a player is a yard from goal with no goalie in sight, he basically has to score. So, it would be about 0.95 xG or something like that.

But... he misses! It bounces back to him off the post and he's in exactly the same position. So would probably be about 0.95 xG again.

Would that count as 1.90 xG? Or is it capped at 1.00 xG because he obviously couldn't have scored more than one goal from the same attack?

[Olneythelonely]

6/100 of those chances ending up in the net is about right. 70 of them would hit the defender’s legs

[Mellin]

Ollie Watkins, there are no words. What a year.

Felt so special, that. Villa boy scoring a last minute winner in a European Championship semi-final. Won't forget it.

[The Edge]

6/100 of those chances ending up in the net is about right. 70 of them would hit the defender’s legs

That's so unfair. It was a brilliant finish taken in isolation.

[cdbearsfan]

It isn't being unfair, it's the opposite. It's saying he only had a 6% chance of scoring from there and did fantastically to do so.

[Monty]

As if Paddy hadn't suffered enough!

[tomd2103]

So, so pleased for him and don't mind admitting that I felt a bit emotional at the end.  He looked so chuffed to have his big moment in the spotlight and looked like he couldn't quite believe it.

What a goal to win it as well.  Good first touch and a great strike across the keeper.  We've obviously seen a lot of him over the past few years and when he gets that first touch right in and around the box, his finishing is usually decent.

I watched one of those things with Ian Wright, Gary Neville, Roy Keane etc.and Ian Wright was talking about how disappointed he was to miss out in Euro 96.  He said he wouldn't have minded being on the bench, all he wanted to was have an opportunity in a game to score the winning goal for England in a major tournament.  Ollie has done that tonight and what a moment for him.

[Risso]

Telegraph ratings:

“ Ollie Watkins (on for Kane, 81): What a goal! England’s late hero. Sent on in place of Kane to provide England with some much-needed energy, but gave them so much more. Clinched a place in the final for the Three Lions with a super finish after turning and shooting. He will never, ever forget that moment. Nor will any Aston Villa supporter. 9/10”

[eamonn]

Christ, he really wanted that 20th league goal of the season, didn't he?!

[Mellin]